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David SasserNFL Predictions
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2026 / National Football League

Week 10 / Player Projections

Player
Props.

A closer look at the numbers.
Compare projections, totals, and weekly results across passing, rushing, and receiving.

Props
290
Players
118
Games
11
Model Updated Nov 11, 1:52 PM CTDraftKings Totals Imported Nov 11, 1:53 PM CT

The Prop Board.

Compare the projection, current total, and season over rate. Expand a row for weekly results, historical range, and odds. Playing status is not verified.

Passing Yards / Yards

1–20 of 20 props

Deshaun WatsonCleveland BrownsHOU @ CLEProjection73.4Total209.5Difference−136.1UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over4/8 · 50%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 209.5
Season Average
225.8
Over Current Total
4/850%
Under Current Total
4/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs JAX: 205 yards; under current total of 209.5
  • Week 2 vs TB: 238 yards; over current total of 209.5
  • Week 3 vs CAR: 144 yards; under current total of 209.5
  • Week 4 vs PIT: 268 yards; over current total of 209.5
  • Week 5 vs NYJ: 155 yards; under current total of 209.5
  • Week 6 vs BAL: 164 yards; under current total of 209.5
  • Week 7 vs TEN: 308 yards; over current total of 209.5
  • Week 8 vs PIT: 324 yards; over current total of 209.5
  • Week 9 vs NO: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample

Past results are compared with the current total of 209.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game.

80% Historical Range
-34.4–181.2
Over Odds
−112
Under Odds
−112
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

J.J. McCarthyNew York GiantsWAS @ NYGProjection146.9Total212.5Difference−65.6UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over2/4 · 50%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 212.5
Season Average
155.5
Over Current Total
2/450%
Under Current Total
2/4
Pushes
0
  • Week 1: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 2: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 3: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 4: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 5 vs WAS: 0 yards; under current total of 212.5
  • Week 6 vs NO: 243 yards; over current total of 212.5
  • Week 7 vs HOU: 252 yards; over current total of 212.5
  • Week 8: inferred bye
  • Week 9 vs PHI: 127 yards; under current total of 212.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 212.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
39.1–254.7
Over Odds
−112
Under Odds
−112
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Michael Penix Jr.Atlanta FalconsKC @ ATLProjection176.0Total213.5Difference−37.5UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over4/7 · 57%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 213.5
Season Average
206.3
Over Current Total
4/757%
Under Current Total
3/7
Pushes
0
  • Week 1: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 2: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 3 vs GB: 256 yards; over current total of 213.5
  • Week 4 vs NO: 223 yards; over current total of 213.5
  • Week 5 vs BAL: 240 yards; over current total of 213.5
  • Week 6 vs CHI: 225 yards; over current total of 213.5
  • Week 7 vs SF: 213 yards; under current total of 213.5
  • Week 8 vs TB: 125 yards; under current total of 213.5
  • Week 9 vs CIN: 162 yards; under current total of 213.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 213.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game.

80% Historical Range
68.2–283.8
Over Odds
−113
Under Odds
−111
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Cameron WardTennessee TitansJAX @ TENProjection170.0Total205.5Difference−35.5UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over2/8 · 25%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 205.5
Season Average
185.4
Over Current Total
2/825%
Under Current Total
6/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs NYJ: 140 yards; under current total of 205.5
  • Week 2 vs PHI: 183 yards; under current total of 205.5
  • Week 3 vs NYG: 181 yards; under current total of 205.5
  • Week 4 vs BAL: 222 yards; over current total of 205.5
  • Week 5 vs HOU: 170 yards; under current total of 205.5
  • Week 6 vs IND: 102 yards; under current total of 205.5
  • Week 7 vs CLE: 181 yards; under current total of 205.5
  • Week 8 vs CIN: 304 yards; over current total of 205.5
  • Week 9: inferred bye

Past results are compared with the current total of 205.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
62.1–277.8
Over Odds
−111
Under Odds
−113
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Tyler ShoughNew Orleans SaintsCAR @ NOProjection218.3Total253.5Difference−35.2UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over5/8 · 63%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 253.5
Season Average
248.3
Over Current Total
5/863%
Under Current Total
3/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs DET: 410 yards; over current total of 253.5
  • Week 2 vs BAL: 252 yards; under current total of 253.5
  • Week 3 vs LV: 255 yards; over current total of 253.5
  • Week 4 vs ATL: 286 yards; over current total of 253.5
  • Week 5 vs MIN: 96 yards; under current total of 253.5
  • Week 6 vs NYG: 144 yards; under current total of 253.5
  • Week 7 vs PIT: 278 yards; over current total of 253.5
  • Week 8: inferred bye
  • Week 9 vs CLE: 265 yards; over current total of 253.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 253.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
110.5–326.1
Over Odds
−111
Under Odds
−113
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Aaron RodgersPittsburgh SteelersPIT @ CINProjection213.7Total240.5Difference−26.8UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over3/8 · 38%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 240.5
Season Average
233.9
Over Current Total
3/838%
Under Current Total
5/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs ATL: 221 yards; under current total of 240.5
  • Week 2 vs NE: 187 yards; under current total of 240.5
  • Week 3 vs CIN: 292 yards; over current total of 240.5
  • Week 4 vs CLE: 299 yards; over current total of 240.5
  • Week 5 vs IND: 235 yards; under current total of 240.5
  • Week 6 vs TB: 253 yards; over current total of 240.5
  • Week 7 vs NO: 212 yards; under current total of 240.5
  • Week 8 vs CLE: 172 yards; under current total of 240.5
  • Week 9: inferred bye

Past results are compared with the current total of 240.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
105.8–321.5
Over Odds
−112
Under Odds
−112
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Drew LockSeattle SeahawksSEA @ LVProjection180.3Total206.5Difference−26.2UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over1/3 · 33%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 206.5
Season Average
199.0
Over Current Total
1/333%
Under Current Total
2/3
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs NE: 187 yards; under current total of 206.5
  • Week 2 vs ARI: 235 yards; over current total of 206.5
  • Week 3 vs WAS: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 4 vs LAC: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 5 vs SF: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 6 vs DEN: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 7 vs KC: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 8 vs CHI: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 9 vs ARI: 175 yards; under current total of 206.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 206.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game.

80% Historical Range
72.5–288.1
Over Odds
−113
Under Odds
−111
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Joe BurrowCincinnati BengalsPIT @ CINProjection269.7Total290.5Difference−20.8UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over3/8 · 38%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 290.5
Season Average
298.3
Over Current Total
3/838%
Under Current Total
5/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs TB: 254 yards; under current total of 290.5
  • Week 2 vs HOU: 207 yards; under current total of 290.5
  • Week 3 vs PIT: 282 yards; under current total of 290.5
  • Week 4 vs JAX: 428 yards; over current total of 290.5
  • Week 5 vs MIA: 190 yards; under current total of 290.5
  • Week 6: inferred bye
  • Week 7 vs BAL: 292 yards; over current total of 290.5
  • Week 8 vs TEN: 462 yards; over current total of 290.5
  • Week 9 vs ATL: 271 yards; under current total of 290.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 290.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
161.9–377.6
Over Odds
−111
Under Odds
−113
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Jordan LoveGreen Bay PackersMIN @ GBProjection240.5Total258.5Difference−18.0UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over7/9 · 78%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 258.5
Season Average
290.9
Over Current Total
7/978%
Under Current Total
2/9
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs MIN: 387 yards; over current total of 258.5
  • Week 2 vs NYJ: 145 yards; under current total of 258.5
  • Week 3 vs ATL: 312 yards; over current total of 258.5
  • Week 4 vs TB: 197 yards; under current total of 258.5
  • Week 5 vs CHI: 367 yards; over current total of 258.5
  • Week 6 vs DAL: 276 yards; over current total of 258.5
  • Week 7 vs DET: 274 yards; over current total of 258.5
  • Week 8 vs CAR: 288 yards; over current total of 258.5
  • Week 9 vs NE: 372 yards; over current total of 258.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 258.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game.

80% Historical Range
132.7–348.3
Over Odds
−113
Under Odds
−111
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Jared GoffDetroit LionsNE @ DETProjection251.3Total267.5Difference−16.2UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over5/8 · 63%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 267.5
Season Average
266.8
Over Current Total
5/863%
Under Current Total
3/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs NO: 206 yards; under current total of 267.5
  • Week 2 vs BUF: 327 yards; over current total of 267.5
  • Week 3 vs NYJ: 269 yards; over current total of 267.5
  • Week 4 vs CAR: 412 yards; over current total of 267.5
  • Week 5 vs ARI: 271 yards; over current total of 267.5
  • Week 6: inferred bye
  • Week 7 vs GB: 303 yards; over current total of 267.5
  • Week 8 vs MIN: 176 yards; under current total of 267.5
  • Week 9 vs MIA: 170 yards; under current total of 267.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 267.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
143.5–359.1
Over Odds
−113
Under Odds
−111
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Trevor LawrenceJacksonville JaguarsJAX @ TENProjection249.1Total233.5Difference+15.6OverExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over4/8 · 50%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 233.5
Season Average
241.5
Over Current Total
4/850%
Under Current Total
4/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs CLE: 245 yards; over current total of 233.5
  • Week 2 vs DEN: 189 yards; under current total of 233.5
  • Week 3 vs NE: 182 yards; under current total of 233.5
  • Week 4 vs CIN: 227 yards; under current total of 233.5
  • Week 5 vs PHI: 331 yards; over current total of 233.5
  • Week 6 vs HOU: 306 yards; over current total of 233.5
  • Week 7: inferred bye
  • Week 8 vs IND: 210 yards; under current total of 233.5
  • Week 9 vs BAL: 242 yards; over current total of 233.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 233.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
141.2–356.9
Over Odds
−113
Under Odds
−111
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Geno SmithNew York JetsBUF @ NYJProjection204.3Total218.5Difference−14.2UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over5/9 · 56%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 218.5
Season Average
230.9
Over Current Total
5/956%
Under Current Total
4/9
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs TEN: 215 yards; under current total of 218.5
  • Week 2 vs GB: 247 yards; over current total of 218.5
  • Week 3 vs DET: 321 yards; over current total of 218.5
  • Week 4 vs CHI: 119 yards; under current total of 218.5
  • Week 5 vs CLE: 182 yards; under current total of 218.5
  • Week 6 vs NE: 252 yards; over current total of 218.5
  • Week 7 vs MIA: 287 yards; over current total of 218.5
  • Week 8 vs LV: 290 yards; over current total of 218.5
  • Week 9 vs KC: 165 yards; under current total of 218.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 218.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game.

80% Historical Range
96.5–312.1
Over Odds
−113
Under Odds
−111
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Jayden DanielsWashington CommandersWAS @ NYGProjection215.6Total201.5Difference+14.1OverExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over3/6 · 50%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 201.5
Season Average
208.3
Over Current Total
3/650%
Under Current Total
3/6
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs PHI: 164 yards; under current total of 201.5
  • Week 2 vs DAL: 96 yards; under current total of 201.5
  • Week 3 vs SEA: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 4 vs IND: no confirmed participation; excluded from the sample
  • Week 5 vs NYG: 199 yards; under current total of 201.5
  • Week 6 vs SF: 300 yards; over current total of 201.5
  • Week 7: inferred bye
  • Week 8 vs PHI: 217 yards; over current total of 201.5
  • Week 9 vs LA: 274 yards; over current total of 201.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 201.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
107.8–323.4
Over Odds
−112
Under Odds
−112
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Patrick MahomesKansas City ChiefsKC @ ATLProjection252.8Total240.5Difference+12.3OverExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over5/8 · 63%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 240.5
Season Average
254.6
Over Current Total
5/863%
Under Current Total
3/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs DEN: 184 yards; under current total of 240.5
  • Week 2 vs IND: 382 yards; over current total of 240.5
  • Week 3 vs MIA: 246 yards; over current total of 240.5
  • Week 4 vs LV: 225 yards; under current total of 240.5
  • Week 5: inferred bye
  • Week 6 vs LAC: 272 yards; over current total of 240.5
  • Week 7 vs SEA: 165 yards; under current total of 240.5
  • Week 8 vs DEN: 321 yards; over current total of 240.5
  • Week 9 vs NYJ: 242 yards; over current total of 240.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 240.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
145.0–360.7
Over Odds
−112
Under Odds
−112
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ersSF @ DALProjection244.5Total256.5Difference−12.0UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over4/8 · 50%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 256.5
Season Average
247.5
Over Current Total
4/850%
Under Current Total
4/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs LA: 205 yards; under current total of 256.5
  • Week 2 vs MIA: 287 yards; over current total of 256.5
  • Week 3 vs ARI: 297 yards; over current total of 256.5
  • Week 4 vs DEN: 218 yards; under current total of 256.5
  • Week 5 vs SEA: 189 yards; under current total of 256.5
  • Week 6 vs WAS: 264 yards; over current total of 256.5
  • Week 7 vs ATL: 288 yards; over current total of 256.5
  • Week 8: inferred bye
  • Week 9 vs LV: 232 yards; under current total of 256.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 256.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
136.7–352.3
Over Odds
−111
Under Odds
−113
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Bryce YoungCarolina PanthersCAR @ NOProjection259.7Total248.5Difference+11.2OverExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over6/8 · 75%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 248.5
Season Average
274.6
Over Current Total
6/875%
Under Current Total
2/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs CHI: 361 yards; over current total of 248.5
  • Week 2 vs ATL: 287 yards; over current total of 248.5
  • Week 3 vs CLE: 291 yards; over current total of 248.5
  • Week 4 vs DET: 329 yards; over current total of 248.5
  • Week 5: inferred bye
  • Week 6 vs PHI: 281 yards; over current total of 248.5
  • Week 7 vs TB: 163 yards; under current total of 248.5
  • Week 8 vs GB: 209 yards; under current total of 248.5
  • Week 9 vs DEN: 276 yards; over current total of 248.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 248.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
151.9–367.5
Over Odds
−111
Under Odds
−113
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Josh AllenBuffalo BillsBUF @ NYJProjection238.6Total227.5Difference+11.1OverExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over6/8 · 75%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 227.5
Season Average
253.4
Over Current Total
6/875%
Under Current Total
2/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs HOU: 334 yards; over current total of 227.5
  • Week 2 vs DET: 248 yards; over current total of 227.5
  • Week 3 vs LAC: 204 yards; under current total of 227.5
  • Week 4 vs NE: 253 yards; over current total of 227.5
  • Week 5 vs LA: 210 yards; under current total of 227.5
  • Week 6 vs LV: 255 yards; over current total of 227.5
  • Week 7: inferred bye
  • Week 8 vs BAL: 289 yards; over current total of 227.5
  • Week 9 vs MIN: 234 yards; over current total of 227.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 227.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
130.8–346.4
Over Odds
−113
Under Odds
−111
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

C.J. StroudHouston TexansHOU @ CLEProjection251.8Total243.5Difference+8.3OverExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over6/8 · 75%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 243.5
Season Average
281.4
Over Current Total
6/875%
Under Current Total
2/8
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs BUF: 274 yards; over current total of 243.5
  • Week 2 vs CIN: 353 yards; over current total of 243.5
  • Week 3 vs IND: 167 yards; under current total of 243.5
  • Week 4 vs DAL: 347 yards; over current total of 243.5
  • Week 5 vs TEN: 261 yards; over current total of 243.5
  • Week 6 vs JAX: 312 yards; over current total of 243.5
  • Week 7 vs NYG: 153 yards; under current total of 243.5
  • Week 8: inferred bye
  • Week 9 vs LAC: 384 yards; over current total of 243.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 243.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game. *Bye inferred from the source data.

80% Historical Range
144.0–359.6
Over Odds
−112
Under Odds
−112
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Drake MayeNew England PatriotsNE @ DETProjection252.6Total260.5Difference−7.9UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over4/9 · 44%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 260.5
Season Average
253.6
Over Current Total
4/944%
Under Current Total
5/9
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs SEA: 178 yards; under current total of 260.5
  • Week 2 vs PIT: 208 yards; under current total of 260.5
  • Week 3 vs JAX: 199 yards; under current total of 260.5
  • Week 4 vs BUF: 269 yards; over current total of 260.5
  • Week 5 vs LV: 374 yards; over current total of 260.5
  • Week 6 vs NYJ: 235 yards; under current total of 260.5
  • Week 7 vs CHI: 321 yards; over current total of 260.5
  • Week 8 vs MIA: 199 yards; under current total of 260.5
  • Week 9 vs GB: 299 yards; over current total of 260.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 260.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game.

80% Historical Range
144.8–360.5
Over Odds
−113
Under Odds
−111
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Dak PrescottDallas CowboysSF @ DALProjection260.5Total265.5Difference−5.0UnderExpand for season history, range, and oddsSeason Over5/9 · 56%versus the current total

2026 Season History

Through Week 9 · Yards

Current Total 265.5
Season Average
264.6
Over Current Total
5/956%
Under Current Total
4/9
Pushes
0
  • Week 1 vs NYG: 175 yards; under current total of 265.5
  • Week 2 vs WAS: 279 yards; over current total of 265.5
  • Week 3 vs BAL: 276 yards; over current total of 265.5
  • Week 4 vs HOU: 335 yards; over current total of 265.5
  • Week 5 vs TB: 316 yards; over current total of 265.5
  • Week 6 vs GB: 258 yards; under current total of 265.5
  • Week 7 vs PHI: 212 yards; under current total of 265.5
  • Week 8 vs ARI: 195 yards; under current total of 265.5
  • Week 9 vs IND: 335 yards; over current total of 265.5

Past results are compared with the current total of 265.5, not each week's original total. Rates include pushes in the sample; byes and unconfirmed participation are excluded. A recorded zero counts as a game.

80% Historical Range
152.7–368.3
Over Odds
−113
Under Odds
−111
Sportsbook
DraftKings

The range uses historical model errors; it is not a probability of exceeding the total. Roster and injury status are not verified.

Reading The Board Difference = projection − total, in yards. Over and Under describe the model's position relative to the total, not a win probability. Values round to one decimal; a difference that rounds to zero shows “At Total.”

Season Over Rate The share of recorded games over the current total, including pushes in the sample and excluding byes and unconfirmed participation. This is historical context, not a forecast probability.

Only props with both a projection and a total are shown. DraftKings totals are an imported snapshot from Nov 11, 1:53 PM CT and may have changed. All kickoffs are in Central Time.

Projections are based on recent participation. Roster and injury status have not been verified.