2026 college football

Week 6
Projections.

Model-projected scores and market context for every game on this week's board.

October 6–10Updated Tuesday, October 6 · 12:30 AM CT

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Model projections

Week 6 Games

Every score shown is a model projection. Kickoffs are shown in Central Time; open and current list the market favorite.

Showing 58 games

Tuesday, October 6

1 game

7:00 PM CTESPN2

Veterans Memorial Stadium · Troy, AL

Southern Miss at Troy

Southern Miss1–3Projected score 19.9

Troy2–2Projected score 31.3

Open: Troy −8.5
Current: Troy −10.5
Proj. Line: -11.4

Model picks

Troy −10.5

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Wednesday, October 7

2 games

6:00 PM CTCBSSN

Fifth Third Stadium · Kennesaw, GA

Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State

Jacksonville State3–2Projected score 28.5

Kennesaw State1–3Projected score 21.8

Open: Jacksonville State −2.5
Current: Jacksonville State −3.0
Proj. Line: +6.8

Model picks

Jacksonville State −3.0

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6:30 PM CTESPN2

Pitbull Stadium · Miami, FL

New Mexico State at Florida International

New Mexico State2–3Projected score 18.8

Florida International2–2Projected score 28.1

Open: Florida International −3.5
Current: Florida International −6.0
Proj. Line: -9.3

Model picks

Florida International −6.0

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Thursday, October 8

4 games

6:00 PM CTCBSSN

Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY

Missouri State at Western Kentucky

Missouri State1–3Projected score 26.8

Western Kentucky1–4Projected score 27.8

Open: Western Kentucky −2.5
Current: Western Kentucky −2.5
Proj. Line: -1.0

Model picks

Missouri State +2.5

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6:00 PM CTESPNU

Williams Stadium · Lynchburg, VA

Sam Houston at Liberty

Sam Houston1–3Projected score 16.2

Liberty4–1Projected score 35.7

Open: Liberty −14.0
Current: Liberty −13.5
Proj. Line: -19.4

Model picks

Liberty −13.5

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6:30 PM CTESPN

Alamodome · San Antonio, TX

South Florida at UTSA

South Florida4–1Projected score 31.4

UTSA4–1Projected score 29.2

Open: UTSA −6.5
Current: UTSA −7.0
Proj. Line: +2.2

Model picks

South Florida +7.0

Explore matchup

6:30 PM CTESPN2

Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR

South Alabama at Arkansas State

South Alabama3–2Projected score 25.3

Arkansas State2–3Projected score 32.9

Open: Arkansas State −1.0
Current: Arkansas State −1.5
Proj. Line: -7.6

Model picks

Arkansas State −1.5

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Friday, October 9

5 games

6:00 PM CTESPN

L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY

Florida State at Louisville

Florida State3–2Projected score 28.1

Louisville2–3Projected score 34.1

Open: Louisville −6.0
Current: Louisville −3.5
Proj. Line: -6.0

Model picks

Louisville −3.5

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8:00 PM CTCBSSN

CEFCU Stadium · San Jose, CA

Wyoming at San José State

Wyoming2–3Projected score 22.9

San José State3–2Projected score 20.3

Open: San José State −6.5
Current: San José State −6.5
Proj. Line: +2.5

Model picks

Wyoming +6.5

Explore matchup

8:00 PM CTCW

Maverik Stadium · Logan, UT

Washington State at Utah State

Washington State1–4Projected score 20.1

Utah State1–4Projected score 22.3

Open: Utah State −4.0
Current: Utah State −5.5
Proj. Line: -2.3

Model picks

Washington State +5.5

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8:00 PM CTN/A

Husky Stadium · Seattle, WA

Iowa at Washington

20Iowa4–1Projected score 21.7

Washington3–2Projected score 21.5

Open: Washington −1.5
Current: Washington −3.0
Proj. Line: +0.2

Model picks

Iowa +3.0

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9:15 PM CTESPN

LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT

Iowa State at BYU

Iowa State3–2Projected score 16.3

8BYU4–0Projected score 31.3

Open: BYU −14.5
Current: BYU −10.5
Proj. Line: -15.0

Model picks

BYU −10.5

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Saturday, October 10

46 games

11:00 AM CTESPN

Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA

North Carolina at Pittsburgh

North Carolina2–2Projected score 16.3

25Pittsburgh5–0Projected score 28.9

Open: Pittsburgh −4.0
Current: Pittsburgh −4.0
Proj. Line: -12.5

Model picks

Pittsburgh −4.0

Explore matchup

11:00 AM CTESPN+

Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Bowling Green, OH

Sacramento State at Bowling Green

Sacramento State1–4Projected score 22.7

Bowling Green1–4Projected score 19.3

Open: Bowling Green −7.0
Current: Bowling Green −7.0
Proj. Line: +3.5

Model picks

Sacramento State +7.0

Explore matchup

11:00 AM CTFOX

Memorial Stadium · Lincoln, NE

Indiana at Nebraska

7Indiana5–0Projected score 30.2

Nebraska5–0Projected score 22.1

Open: Indiana −9.5
Current: Indiana −7.0
Proj. Line: +8.1

Model picks

Indiana −7.0

Explore matchup

11:00 AM CTCBSSN

Michie Stadium · West Point, NY

Tulane at Army

Tulane2–2Projected score 19.4

Army2–2Projected score 27.8

Open: Army −3.0
Current: Army −3.0
Proj. Line: -8.4

Model picks

Army −3.0

Explore matchup

11:00 AM CTABC

Memorial Stadium · Columbia, MO

Texas A&M at Missouri

Texas A&M3–2Projected score 20.7

14Missouri4–1Projected score 26.2

Open: Missouri −1.5
Current: Missouri −3.5
Proj. Line: -5.5

Model picks

Missouri −3.5

Explore matchup

11:00 AM CTESPN2

Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK

UCF at Oklahoma State

UCF3–2Projected score 22.2

18Oklahoma State3–1Projected score 25.9

Open: Oklahoma State −10.5
Current: Oklahoma State −9.5
Proj. Line: -3.7

Model picks

UCF +9.5

Explore matchup

11:00 AM CTCW

Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC

Wake Forest at NC State

Wake Forest4–1Projected score 26.2

NC State3–2Projected score 29.5

Open: Wake Forest −3.5
Current: Wake Forest −4.0
Proj. Line: -3.4

Model picks

NC State +4.0

Explore matchup

11:00 AM CTTNT

Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV

Arizona at West Virginia

Arizona4–1Projected score 31.3

West Virginia3–2Projected score 24.5

Open: Arizona −3.0
Current: Arizona −3.5
Proj. Line: +6.8

Model picks

Arizona −3.5

Explore matchup

11:30 AM CTBTN

Ryan Field · Evanston, IL

Ball State at Northwestern

Ball State1–4Projected score 10.0

Northwestern3–1Projected score 40.0

Open: Northwestern −36.0
Current: Northwestern −36.5
Proj. Line: -30.0

Model picks

Ball State +36.5

Explore matchup

11:45 AM CTSEC Network

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville, FL

South Carolina at Florida

South Carolina2–3Projected score 21.8

16Florida4–1Projected score 35.5

Open: Florida −14.5
Current: Florida −12.5
Proj. Line: -13.7

Model picks

Florida −12.5

Explore matchup

12:00 PM CTESPN+

Kidd Brewer Stadium · Boone, NC

Old Dominion at App State

Old Dominion1–4Projected score 21.5

App State3–1Projected score 25.8

Open: App State −10.0
Current: App State −9.5
Proj. Line: -4.3

Model picks

Old Dominion +9.5

Explore matchup

1:00 PM CTESPN+

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Hadley, MA

Miami (OH) at Massachusetts

Miami (OH)2–3Projected score 25.0

Massachusetts4–1Projected score 23.6

Open: Miami (OH) −2.5
Current: Miami (OH) −2.5
Proj. Line: +1.3

Model picks

Massachusetts +2.5

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTESPN+

InfoCision Stadium · Akron, OH

Eastern Michigan at Akron

Eastern Michigan3–3Projected score 24.2

Akron1–4Projected score 20.9

Open: Eastern Michigan −6.0
Current: Eastern Michigan −7.0
Proj. Line: +3.3

Model picks

Akron +7.0

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTFOX

Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS

Houston at Kansas State

22Houston4–1Projected score 27.4

Kansas State3–1Projected score 31.5

Open: Kansas State −2.5
Current: Kansas State −2.5
Proj. Line: -4.2

Model picks

Kansas State −2.5

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTESPN+

DATCU Stadium · Denton, TX

Charlotte at North Texas

Charlotte0–5Projected score 17.4

North Texas3–2Projected score 42.1

Open: North Texas −27.0
Current: North Texas −28.5
Proj. Line: -24.7

Model picks

Charlotte +28.5

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTNBC

Notre Dame Stadium · Notre Dame, IN

Stanford at Notre Dame

Stanford2–3Projected score 9.2

3Notre Dame5–0Projected score 46.2

Open: Notre Dame −38.0
Current: Notre Dame −37.5
Proj. Line: -37.0

Model picks

Stanford +37.5

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTCBS

Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR

UCLA at Oregon

21UCLA4–0Projected score 24.7

13Oregon3–1Projected score 36.4

Open: Oregon −12.5
Current: Oregon −11.5
Proj. Line: -11.7

Model picks

Oregon −11.5

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTFS1

Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI

Illinois at Michigan State

Illinois2–3Projected score 30.5

Michigan State2–3Projected score 24.6

Open: Illinois −3.5
Current: Illinois −2.5
Proj. Line: +6.0

Model picks

Illinois −2.5

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTESPN+

Glass Bowl · Toledo, OH

Buffalo at Toledo

Buffalo2–3Projected score 15.1

Toledo4–1Projected score 33.8

Open: Toledo −19.5
Current: Toledo −20.5
Proj. Line: -18.7

Model picks

Buffalo +20.5

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTESPN+

Peden Stadium · Athens, OH

Central Michigan at Ohio

Central Michigan3–2Projected score 17.4

Ohio3–2Projected score 26.3

Open: Ohio −3.5
Current: Ohio −3.0
Proj. Line: -8.9

Model picks

Ohio −3.0

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTESPN+

Waldo Stadium · Kalamazoo, MI

Kent State at Western Michigan

Kent State2–3Projected score 14.4

Western Michigan3–2Projected score 29.1

Open: Western Michigan −14.0
Current: Western Michigan −13.5
Proj. Line: -14.7

Model picks

Western Michigan −13.5

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTESPN

FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN

Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

9Ole Miss3–1Projected score 29.6

Vanderbilt3–2Projected score 28.6

Open: Ole Miss −10.0
Current: Ole Miss −10.0
Proj. Line: +0.9

Model picks

Vanderbilt +10.0

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTABC

Cotton Bowl · Dallas, TX

Texas at Oklahoma

1Texas4–0Projected score 22.4

Oklahoma2–2Projected score 15.5

Open: Texas −6.0
Current: Texas −8.5
Proj. Line: +6.9

Model picks

Oklahoma +8.5

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTCBSSN

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis, MD

Tulsa at Navy

Tulsa3–2Projected score 25.1

Navy1–3Projected score 26.4

Open: Navy −2.5
Current: Navy −2.5
Proj. Line: -1.2

Model picks

Tulsa +2.5

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTESPN2

Bobby Dodd Stadium · Atlanta, GA

Duke at Georgia Tech

Duke4–0Projected score 30.1

Georgia Tech1–3Projected score 24.3

Open: Duke −7.0
Current: Duke −7.0
Proj. Line: +5.8

Model picks

Georgia Tech +7.0

Explore matchup

2:30 PM CTACC Network

California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA

Virginia Tech at California

Virginia Tech4–1Projected score 31.8

California2–3Projected score 19.7

Open: Virginia Tech −9.5
Current: Virginia Tech −8.5
Proj. Line: +12.1

Model picks

Virginia Tech −8.5

Explore matchup

2:45 PM CTESPNU

Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA

UConn at Temple

UConn2–3Projected score 28.0

Temple2–3Projected score 27.8

Open: Temple −4.0
Current: Temple −3.5
Proj. Line: +0.2

Model picks

UConn +3.5

Explore matchup

3:00 PM CTESPN+

Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC

Rice at East Carolina

Rice1–4Projected score 17.4

East Carolina2–2Projected score 31.9

Open: East Carolina −10.0
Current: East Carolina −10.0
Proj. Line: -14.4

Model picks

East Carolina −10.0

Explore matchup

3:15 PM CTSEC Network

Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR

Tennessee at Arkansas

15Tennessee4–1Projected score 36.5

Arkansas2–3Projected score 21.1

Open: Tennessee −13.5
Current: Tennessee −13.5
Proj. Line: +15.4

Model picks

Tennessee −13.5

Explore matchup

3:15 PM CTBTN

Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH

Maryland at Ohio State

Maryland2–3Projected score 14.9

5Ohio State4–1Projected score 40.6

Open: Ohio State −35.0
Current: Ohio State −34.5
Proj. Line: -25.7

Model picks

Maryland +34.5

Explore matchup

5:00 PM CTUSA Net

Reser Stadium · Corvallis, OR

San Diego State at Oregon State

San Diego State2–3Projected score 18.1

Oregon State3–2Projected score 29.5

Open: Oregon State −14.0
Current: Oregon State −14.0
Proj. Line: -11.3

Model picks

San Diego State +14.0

Explore matchup

6:00 PM CTESPN

Kroger Field · Lexington, KY

LSU at Kentucky

10LSU4–1Projected score 29.7

Kentucky4–1Projected score 18.9

Open: LSU −10.5
Current: LSU −8.5
Proj. Line: +10.8

Model picks

LSU −8.5

Explore matchup

6:00 PM CTCW

Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV

North Dakota State at UNLV

North Dakota State5–0Projected score 28.8

UNLV3–2Projected score 22.0

Open: North Dakota State −3.0
Current: North Dakota State −3.0
Proj. Line: +6.8

Model picks

North Dakota State −3.0

Explore matchup

6:00 PM CTESPN+

Joan C. Edwards Stadium · Huntington, WV

Coastal Carolina at Marshall

Coastal Carolina1–4Projected score 30.0

Marshall3–2Projected score 30.5

Open: Marshall −3.0
Current: Marshall −3.0
Proj. Line: -0.5

Model picks

Coastal Carolina +3.0

Explore matchup

6:00 PM CTESPN2

Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Memphis, TN

UAB at Memphis

UAB3–2Projected score 20.4

Memphis4–1Projected score 37.7

Open: Memphis −14.5
Current: Memphis −14.0
Proj. Line: -17.4

Model picks

Memphis −14.0

Explore matchup

6:00 PM CTFS1

Sun Bowl · El Paso, TX

Nevada at UTEP

Nevada1–3Projected score 31.4

UTEP1–4Projected score 17.9

Open: Nevada −9.0
Current: Nevada −8.5
Proj. Line: +13.6

Model picks

Nevada −8.5

Explore matchup

6:30 PM CTACC Network

Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA

Syracuse at Virginia

Syracuse2–2Projected score 15.4

Virginia3–2Projected score 31.9

Open: Virginia −9.5
Current: Virginia −9.5
Proj. Line: -16.6

Model picks

Virginia −9.5

Explore matchup

6:30 PM CTESPN+

Joe Aillet Stadium · Ruston, LA

Louisiana at Louisiana Tech

Louisiana4–1Projected score 28.6

Louisiana Tech2–2Projected score 23.5

Open: Louisiana Tech −2.5
Current: Louisiana Tech −3.0
Proj. Line: +5.2

Model picks

Louisiana +3.0

Explore matchup

6:30 PM CTCBSSN

Huskie Stadium · DeKalb, IL

Air Force at Northern Illinois

Air Force3–1Projected score 34.7

Northern Illinois0–4Projected score 15.7

Open: Air Force −11.5
Current: Air Force −7.5
Proj. Line: +19.0

Model picks

Air Force −7.5

Explore matchup

6:30 PM CTESPNU

Allen E. Paulson Stadium · Statesboro, GA

James Madison at Georgia Southern

James Madison5–0Projected score 33.0

Georgia Southern2–3Projected score 18.4

Open: James Madison −9.5
Current: James Madison −7.5
Proj. Line: +14.6

Model picks

James Madison −7.5

Explore matchup

6:30 PM CTNBC

Beaver Stadium · University Park, PA

USC at Penn State

19USC5–1Projected score 27.2

Penn State3–2Projected score 28.8

Open: Penn State −1.5
Current: Penn State −1.5
Proj. Line: -1.6

Model picks

Penn State −1.5

Explore matchup

6:30 PM CTABC

Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL

Georgia at Alabama

2Georgia5–0Projected score 27.8

6Alabama5–0Projected score 28.0

Open: Georgia −3.0
Current: Alabama −1.5
Proj. Line: -0.2

Model picks

Georgia +1.5

Explore matchup

7:00 PM CTBTN

Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN

Minnesota at Purdue

Minnesota4–1Projected score 33.0

Purdue2–3Projected score 22.4

Open: Minnesota −2.0
Current: Minnesota −2.5
Proj. Line: +10.6

Model picks

Minnesota −2.5

Explore matchup

8:30 PM CTFS1

Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ

Hawai'i at Arizona State

Hawai'i1–4Projected score 15.3

Arizona State2–2Projected score 32.5

Open: Arizona State −22.0
Current: Arizona State −20.5
Proj. Line: -17.2

Model picks

Hawai'i +20.5

Explore matchup

9:15 PM CTESPN

Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT

Kansas at Utah

Kansas2–2Projected score 15.4

12Utah4–0Projected score 38.3

Open: Utah −15.5
Current: Utah −15.5
Proj. Line: -22.9

Model picks

Utah −15.5

Explore matchup

9:30 PM CTCW

Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA

Boise State at Fresno State

23Boise State4–1Projected score 28.0

Fresno State4–1Projected score 21.8

Open: Boise State −6.5
Current: Boise State −6.5
Proj. Line: +6.2

Model picks

Fresno State +6.5

Explore matchup

Week 6Projections.

Week 6 Games

Tuesday, October 6

Southern Miss at Troy

Wednesday, October 7

Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State

New Mexico State at Florida International

Thursday, October 8

Missouri State at Western Kentucky

Sam Houston at Liberty

South Florida at UTSA

South Alabama at Arkansas State

Friday, October 9

Florida State at Louisville

Wyoming at San José State

Washington State at Utah State

Iowa at Washington

Iowa State at BYU

Saturday, October 10

North Carolina at Pittsburgh

Sacramento State at Bowling Green

Indiana at Nebraska

Tulane at Army

Texas A&M at Missouri

UCF at Oklahoma State

Wake Forest at NC State

Arizona at West Virginia

Ball State at Northwestern

South Carolina at Florida

Old Dominion at App State

Miami (OH) at Massachusetts

Eastern Michigan at Akron

Houston at Kansas State

Charlotte at North Texas

Stanford at Notre Dame

UCLA at Oregon

Illinois at Michigan State

Buffalo at Toledo

Central Michigan at Ohio

Kent State at Western Michigan

Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Texas at Oklahoma

Tulsa at Navy

Duke at Georgia Tech

Virginia Tech at California

UConn at Temple

Rice at East Carolina

Tennessee at Arkansas

Maryland at Ohio State

San Diego State at Oregon State

LSU at Kentucky

North Dakota State at UNLV

Coastal Carolina at Marshall

UAB at Memphis

Nevada at UTEP

Syracuse at Virginia

Louisiana at Louisiana Tech

Air Force at Northern Illinois

James Madison at Georgia Southern

USC at Penn State

Georgia at Alabama

Minnesota at Purdue

Hawai'i at Arizona State

Kansas at Utah

Boise State at Fresno State

Week 6
Projections.