2026 college football / Week 6 matchup
Jacksonville Stateat
Kennesaw State
Wednesday, October 7 · 6:00 PM CT · CBSSN
Fifth Third Stadium · Kennesaw, GA
- Projected score (away / home)
- 28.5/21.8
- Model line
- Jacksonville State −6.8
- Market line
- Jacksonville State −3.0
- Model pick
- Jacksonville State −3.0
01 / Team identity
Offense + defense
Larger = stronger. On pace, larger = faster.
Select a category to explore its underlying numbers.
Passing
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
- Offense
- 0.386 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.039 PPA/play
- Offense
- 0.097 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.359 PPA/play
02 / Matchup advantages
5areas favor
Jacksonville State
0closely matched
5-point threshold
2areas favor
Kennesaw State
EfficiencyJacksonville State31.8 pts
Predicted points added (PPA) per play. A measure of how much value a team creates or allows on each snap.
Jacksonville State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 61.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 13.1
- Matchup attack score
- 74.1
Offense: 0.197 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.211 PPA/play
Kennesaw State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 38.0
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 53.3
- Matchup attack score
- 42.3
Offense: 0.109 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.064 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Success rateJacksonville State21.5 pts
How consistently a team produces successful plays on offense and prevents them on defense.
Jacksonville State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 77.4
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 10.9
- Matchup attack score
- 83.2
Offense: 48.2%
Opponent defense: 46.2%
Kennesaw State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 57.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 34.3
- Matchup attack score
- 61.7
Offense: 44.7%
Opponent defense: 42.6%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
PassingJacksonville State58.0 pts
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
Jacksonville State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 77.4
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 14.6
- Matchup attack score
- 81.4
Offense: 0.386 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.359 PPA/play
Kennesaw State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 24.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 78.1
- Matchup attack score
- 23.4
Offense: 0.097 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.039 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
RushingKennesaw State19.0 pts
Predicted points added on rushing plays. Measures ground-game production on offense and rushing production allowed on defense.
Jacksonville State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 43.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 32.1
- Matchup attack score
- 55.8
Offense: 0.098 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.114 PPA/play
Kennesaw State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 70.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 21.2
- Matchup attack score
- 74.8
Offense: 0.192 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.143 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
ExplosivenessJacksonville State13.9 pts
Predicted points added per successful play. Captures the impact of productive plays, beyond how often they happen.
Jacksonville State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 38.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 89.1
- Matchup attack score
- 24.8
Offense: 1.207 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.087 PPA/successful play
Kennesaw State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 10.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 88.3
- Matchup attack score
- 10.9
Offense: 1.111 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.094 PPA/successful play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
HavocJacksonville State25.7 pts
Disruption created on defense and avoided on offense. Lower offensive havoc allowed and higher defensive havoc created are better.
Jacksonville State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 66.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 1.8
- Matchup attack score
- 82.5
Offense: 13.2%
Opponent defense: 10.8%
Kennesaw State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 55.5
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 42.0
- Matchup attack score
- 56.8
Offense: 14.0%
Opponent defense: 15.5%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Finishing drivesKennesaw State8.8 pts
Points scored or allowed per scoring opportunity. Measures how effectively teams turn opportunities into points or limit the damage.
Jacksonville State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 24.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 27.0
- Matchup attack score
- 48.5
Offense: 3.29 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 3.83 pts/opportunity
Kennesaw State offense
- Offensive percentile
- 58.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 44.2
- Matchup attack score
- 57.3
Offense: 4.17 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 3.50 pts/opportunity
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Bars point toward the team with the edge. Select a row to see why. These are statistical comparisons, not scoring margins or win probabilities.
How to read these charts
Statistics cover Weeks 1–5 of 2026, against all opponents. Percentiles compare 138 FBS teams; ties share ranks. Early-season profiles reflect a small sample.
Fingerprints: overall scores average offensive and defensive percentiles. Higher is better on both sides of the ball, including havoc avoidance on offense. Pace uses the offensive percentile only: higher means faster, not better. Missing values are shown as a dash and left unplotted.
Matchup edges: compare the two attack scores, each calculated as (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. Differences within 5 percentile points are labeled even. Pace does not contribute to the advantage map. These comparisons describe statistical strengths, not causal effects or win probabilities.
Source: CollegeFootballData advanced season statistics and team metadata; pace comes from local box scores. PPA stands for predicted points added. Advanced statistics exclude garbage time where supported. Pace includes all box-score plays.