2026 college football / Week 6 matchup
James Madisonat
Georgia Southern
Saturday, October 10 · 6:30 PM CT · ESPNU
Allen E. Paulson Stadium · Statesboro, GA
- Projected score (away / home)
- 33.0/18.4
- Model line
- James Madison −14.6
- Market line
- James Madison −7.5
- Model pick
- James Madison −7.5
01 / Team identity
Offense + defense
Larger = stronger. On pace, larger = faster.
Select a category to explore its underlying numbers.
Passing
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
- Offense
- 0.355 PPA/play
- Defense
- -0.013 PPA/play
- Offense
- 0.235 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.257 PPA/play
02 / Matchup advantages
6areas favor
James Madison
0closely matched
5-point threshold
1area favors
Georgia Southern
EfficiencyJames Madison40.1 pts
Predicted points added (PPA) per play. A measure of how much value a team creates or allows on each snap.
James Madison offense
- Offensive percentile
- 78.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 37.2
- Matchup attack score
- 70.4
Offense: 0.266 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.118 PPA/play
Georgia Southern offense
- Offensive percentile
- 46.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 86.1
- Matchup attack score
- 30.3
Offense: 0.139 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.061 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Success rateJames Madison29.2 pts
How consistently a team produces successful plays on offense and prevents them on defense.
James Madison offense
- Offensive percentile
- 68.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 50.4
- Matchup attack score
- 59.1
Offense: 46.2%
Opponent defense: 40.2%
Georgia Southern offense
- Offensive percentile
- 48.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 88.3
- Matchup attack score
- 29.9
Offense: 43.1%
Opponent defense: 34.4%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
PassingJames Madison38.3 pts
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
James Madison offense
- Offensive percentile
- 70.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 29.9
- Matchup attack score
- 70.4
Offense: 0.355 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.257 PPA/play
Georgia Southern offense
- Offensive percentile
- 48.9
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 84.7
- Matchup attack score
- 32.1
Offense: 0.235 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.013 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
RushingJames Madison32.5 pts
Predicted points added on rushing plays. Measures ground-game production on offense and rushing production allowed on defense.
James Madison offense
- Offensive percentile
- 73.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 54.7
- Matchup attack score
- 59.5
Offense: 0.203 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.047 PPA/play
Georgia Southern offense
- Offensive percentile
- 32.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 78.8
- Matchup attack score
- 27.0
Offense: 0.055 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.071 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
ExplosivenessGeorgia Southern26.6 pts
Predicted points added per successful play. Captures the impact of productive plays, beyond how often they happen.
James Madison offense
- Offensive percentile
- 37.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 93.4
- Matchup attack score
- 21.9
Offense: 1.201 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.064 PPA/successful play
Georgia Southern offense
- Offensive percentile
- 35.0
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 38.0
- Matchup attack score
- 48.5
Offense: 1.196 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.280 PPA/successful play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
HavocJames Madison30.5 pts
Disruption created on defense and avoided on offense. Lower offensive havoc allowed and higher defensive havoc created are better.
James Madison offense
- Offensive percentile
- 91.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 71.2
- Matchup attack score
- 60.0
Offense: 10.1%
Opponent defense: 18.0%
Georgia Southern offense
- Offensive percentile
- 17.5
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 58.4
- Matchup attack score
- 29.6
Offense: 16.9%
Opponent defense: 16.8%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Finishing drivesJames Madison44.2 pts
Points scored or allowed per scoring opportunity. Measures how effectively teams turn opportunities into points or limit the damage.
James Madison offense
- Offensive percentile
- 83.9
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 38.0
- Matchup attack score
- 73.0
Offense: 4.66 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 3.62 pts/opportunity
Georgia Southern offense
- Offensive percentile
- 46.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 89.1
- Matchup attack score
- 28.8
Offense: 3.79 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 2.55 pts/opportunity
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Bars point toward the team with the edge. Select a row to see why. These are statistical comparisons, not scoring margins or win probabilities.
How to read these charts
Statistics cover Weeks 1–5 of 2026, against all opponents. Percentiles compare 138 FBS teams; ties share ranks. Early-season profiles reflect a small sample.
Fingerprints: overall scores average offensive and defensive percentiles. Higher is better on both sides of the ball, including havoc avoidance on offense. Pace uses the offensive percentile only: higher means faster, not better. Missing values are shown as a dash and left unplotted.
Matchup edges: compare the two attack scores, each calculated as (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. Differences within 5 percentile points are labeled even. Pace does not contribute to the advantage map. These comparisons describe statistical strengths, not causal effects or win probabilities.
Source: CollegeFootballData advanced season statistics and team metadata; pace comes from local box scores. PPA stands for predicted points added. Advanced statistics exclude garbage time where supported. Pace includes all box-score plays.