2026 college football / Week 6 matchup
Coastal Carolinaat
Marshall
Saturday, October 10 · 6:00 PM CT · ESPN+
Joan C. Edwards Stadium · Huntington, WV
- Projected score (away / home)
- 30.0/30.5
- Model line
- Marshall −0.5
- Market line
- Marshall −3.0
- Model pick
- Coastal Carolina +3.0
01 / Team identity
Offense + defense
Larger = stronger. On pace, larger = faster.
Select a category to explore its underlying numbers.
Passing
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
- Offense
- 0.202 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.434 PPA/play
- Offense
- 0.353 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.587 PPA/play
02 / Matchup advantages
5areas favor
Coastal Carolina
0closely matched
5-point threshold
2areas favor
Marshall
EfficiencyCoastal Carolina9.5 pts
Predicted points added (PPA) per play. A measure of how much value a team creates or allows on each snap.
Coastal Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 46.0
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 0.0
- Matchup attack score
- 73.0
Offense: 0.136 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.380 PPA/play
Marshall offense
- Offensive percentile
- 59.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 32.1
- Matchup attack score
- 63.5
Offense: 0.188 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.143 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Success rateMarshall8.9 pts
How consistently a team produces successful plays on offense and prevents them on defense.
Coastal Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 29.9
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 5.8
- Matchup attack score
- 62.0
Offense: 41.1%
Opponent defense: 48.7%
Marshall offense
- Offensive percentile
- 55.5
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 13.5
- Matchup attack score
- 71.0
Offense: 44.4%
Opponent defense: 45.8%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
PassingMarshall10.6 pts
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
Coastal Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 43.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 0.7
- Matchup attack score
- 71.5
Offense: 0.202 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.587 PPA/play
Marshall offense
- Offensive percentile
- 70.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 5.8
- Matchup attack score
- 82.1
Offense: 0.353 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.434 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
RushingCoastal Carolina27.4 pts
Predicted points added on rushing plays. Measures ground-game production on offense and rushing production allowed on defense.
Coastal Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 40.9
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 21.9
- Matchup attack score
- 59.5
Offense: 0.086 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.138 PPA/play
Marshall offense
- Offensive percentile
- 24.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 60.6
- Matchup attack score
- 32.1
Offense: 0.029 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.018 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
ExplosivenessCoastal Carolina56.9 pts
Predicted points added per successful play. Captures the impact of productive plays, beyond how often they happen.
Coastal Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 79.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 24.8
- Matchup attack score
- 77.4
Offense: 1.342 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.338 PPA/successful play
Marshall offense
- Offensive percentile
- 38.0
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 97.1
- Matchup attack score
- 20.4
Offense: 1.206 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.018 PPA/successful play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
HavocCoastal Carolina5.5 pts
Disruption created on defense and avoided on offense. Lower offensive havoc allowed and higher defensive havoc created are better.
Coastal Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 9.5
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 4.4
- Matchup attack score
- 52.6
Offense: 18.5%
Opponent defense: 11.3%
Marshall offense
- Offensive percentile
- 27.4
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 33.2
- Matchup attack score
- 47.1
Offense: 16.0%
Opponent defense: 14.2%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Finishing drivesCoastal Carolina34.9 pts
Points scored or allowed per scoring opportunity. Measures how effectively teams turn opportunities into points or limit the damage.
Coastal Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 34.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 8.8
- Matchup attack score
- 62.8
Offense: 3.55 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 4.38 pts/opportunity
Marshall offense
- Offensive percentile
- 8.0
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 52.2
- Matchup attack score
- 27.9
Offense: 2.60 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 3.33 pts/opportunity
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Bars point toward the team with the edge. Select a row to see why. These are statistical comparisons, not scoring margins or win probabilities.
How to read these charts
Statistics cover Weeks 1–5 of 2026, against all opponents. Percentiles compare 138 FBS teams; ties share ranks. Early-season profiles reflect a small sample.
Fingerprints: overall scores average offensive and defensive percentiles. Higher is better on both sides of the ball, including havoc avoidance on offense. Pace uses the offensive percentile only: higher means faster, not better. Missing values are shown as a dash and left unplotted.
Matchup edges: compare the two attack scores, each calculated as (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. Differences within 5 percentile points are labeled even. Pace does not contribute to the advantage map. These comparisons describe statistical strengths, not causal effects or win probabilities.
Source: CollegeFootballData advanced season statistics and team metadata; pace comes from local box scores. PPA stands for predicted points added. Advanced statistics exclude garbage time where supported. Pace includes all box-score plays.