DSCFB Matchups
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2026 college football / Week 6 matchup

Miami (OH)atMassachusetts

Miami (OH) · 2–3Massachusetts · 4–1

Saturday, October 10 · 1:00 PM CT · ESPN+
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Hadley, MA

Projected score (away / home)
25.0/23.6
Model line
Miami (OH) −1.3
Market line
Miami (OH) −2.5
Model pick
Massachusetts +2.5

01 / Team identity

Offense + defense

Miami (OH) and Massachusetts: overall matchup fingerprintsScores run from 0 at the center to 100 at the outside. Miami (OH) is a solid green line with round markers; Massachusetts is a dashed rust line with square markers. Exact values are listed beside the chart. Missing data is left unplotted. Pace indicates speed, not strength.EfficiencySuccessratePassingRushingExplosivenessHavocFinishingdrivesPace255075100

Larger = stronger. On pace, larger = faster.
Select a category to explore its underlying numbers.

Category / 0–100M-OHMASS

Passing

Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.

Miami (OH)
Offense
0.536 PPA/play
Defense
0.310 PPA/play
Massachusetts
Offense
0.347 PPA/play
Defense
0.128 PPA/play

02 / Matchup advantages

0areas favor
Miami (OH)

1closely matched
5-point threshold

6areas favor
Massachusetts

EfficiencyMassachusetts36.1 pts

Predicted points added (PPA) per play. A measure of how much value a team creates or allows on each snap.

Miami (OH) offense

Offensive percentile
65.0
Opponent defensive percentile
88.3
Matchup attack score
38.3

Offense: 0.221 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.074 PPA/play

Massachusetts offense

Offensive percentile
74.5
Opponent defensive percentile
25.5
Matchup attack score
74.5

Offense: 0.257 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.160 PPA/play

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

Success rateMassachusetts25.4 pts

How consistently a team produces successful plays on offense and prevents them on defense.

Miami (OH) offense

Offensive percentile
42.3
Opponent defensive percentile
46.7
Matchup attack score
47.8

Offense: 42.8%
Opponent defense: 40.7%

Massachusetts offense

Offensive percentile
69.3
Opponent defensive percentile
23.0
Matchup attack score
73.2

Offense: 46.3%
Opponent defense: 44.6%

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

PassingEven2.2 pts

Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.

Miami (OH) offense

Offensive percentile
94.9
Opponent defensive percentile
54.7
Matchup attack score
70.1

Offense: 0.536 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.128 PPA/play

Massachusetts offense

Offensive percentile
67.9
Opponent defensive percentile
23.4
Matchup attack score
72.3

Offense: 0.347 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.310 PPA/play

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

RushingMassachusetts58.4 pts

Predicted points added on rushing plays. Measures ground-game production on offense and rushing production allowed on defense.

Miami (OH) offense

Offensive percentile
21.2
Opponent defensive percentile
94.2
Matchup attack score
13.5

Offense: 0.017 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.167 PPA/play

Massachusetts offense

Offensive percentile
83.2
Opponent defensive percentile
39.4
Matchup attack score
71.9

Offense: 0.226 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.094 PPA/play

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

ExplosivenessMassachusetts8.4 pts

Predicted points added per successful play. Captures the impact of productive plays, beyond how often they happen.

Miami (OH) offense

Offensive percentile
94.2
Opponent defensive percentile
94.2
Matchup attack score
50.0

Offense: 1.449 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.056 PPA/successful play

Massachusetts offense

Offensive percentile
51.1
Opponent defensive percentile
34.3
Matchup attack score
58.4

Offense: 1.254 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.303 PPA/successful play

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

HavocMassachusetts38.0 pts

Disruption created on defense and avoided on offense. Lower offensive havoc allowed and higher defensive havoc created are better.

Miami (OH) offense

Offensive percentile
42.7
Opponent defensive percentile
36.1
Matchup attack score
53.3

Offense: 14.9%
Opponent defense: 14.5%

Massachusetts offense

Offensive percentile
88.7
Opponent defensive percentile
6.2
Matchup attack score
91.2

Offense: 10.7%
Opponent defense: 11.6%

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

Finishing drivesMassachusetts35.6 pts

Points scored or allowed per scoring opportunity. Measures how effectively teams turn opportunities into points or limit the damage.

Miami (OH) offense

Offensive percentile
44.2
Opponent defensive percentile
86.9
Matchup attack score
28.6

Offense: 3.75 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 2.62 pts/opportunity

Massachusetts offense

Offensive percentile
41.6
Opponent defensive percentile
13.1
Matchup attack score
64.2

Offense: 3.72 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 4.27 pts/opportunity

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

Bars point toward the team with the edge. Select a row to see why. These are statistical comparisons, not scoring margins or win probabilities.

How to read these charts

Statistics cover Weeks 1–5 of 2026, against all opponents. Percentiles compare 138 FBS teams; ties share ranks. Early-season profiles reflect a small sample.

Fingerprints: overall scores average offensive and defensive percentiles. Higher is better on both sides of the ball, including havoc avoidance on offense. Pace uses the offensive percentile only: higher means faster, not better. Missing values are shown as a dash and left unplotted.

Matchup edges: compare the two attack scores, each calculated as (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. Differences within 5 percentile points are labeled even. Pace does not contribute to the advantage map. These comparisons describe statistical strengths, not causal effects or win probabilities.

Source: CollegeFootballData advanced season statistics and team metadata; pace comes from local box scores. PPA stands for predicted points added. Advanced statistics exclude garbage time where supported. Pace includes all box-score plays.