2026 college football / Week 6 matchup
Eastern Michiganat
Akron
Saturday, October 10 · 2:30 PM CT · ESPN+
InfoCision Stadium · Akron, OH
- Projected score (away / home)
- 24.2/20.9
- Model line
- Eastern Michigan −3.3
- Market line
- Eastern Michigan −7.0
- Model pick
- Akron +7.0
01 / Team identity
Offense + defense
Larger = stronger. On pace, larger = faster.
Select a category to explore its underlying numbers.
Passing
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
- Offense
- 0.142 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.185 PPA/play
- Offense
- -0.019 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.477 PPA/play
02 / Matchup advantages
7areas favor
Eastern Michigan
0closely matched
5-point threshold
0areas favor
Akron
EfficiencyEastern Michigan28.1 pts
Predicted points added (PPA) per play. A measure of how much value a team creates or allows on each snap.
Eastern Michigan offense
- Offensive percentile
- 25.5
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 5.8
- Matchup attack score
- 59.9
Offense: 0.078 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.279 PPA/play
Akron offense
- Offensive percentile
- 11.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 48.2
- Matchup attack score
- 31.8
Offense: -0.002 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.082 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Success rateEastern Michigan12.4 pts
How consistently a team produces successful plays on offense and prevents them on defense.
Eastern Michigan offense
- Offensive percentile
- 27.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 19.0
- Matchup attack score
- 54.4
Offense: 40.8%
Opponent defense: 44.7%
Akron offense
- Offensive percentile
- 26.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 42.3
- Matchup attack score
- 42.0
Offense: 40.5%
Opponent defense: 41.2%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
PassingEastern Michigan32.5 pts
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
Eastern Michigan offense
- Offensive percentile
- 30.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 2.2
- Matchup attack score
- 64.2
Offense: 0.142 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.477 PPA/play
Akron offense
- Offensive percentile
- 6.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 43.1
- Matchup attack score
- 31.8
Offense: -0.019 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.185 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
RushingEastern Michigan22.6 pts
Predicted points added on rushing plays. Measures ground-game production on offense and rushing production allowed on defense.
Eastern Michigan offense
- Offensive percentile
- 47.4
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 22.6
- Matchup attack score
- 62.4
Offense: 0.106 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.137 PPA/play
Akron offense
- Offensive percentile
- 42.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 62.8
- Matchup attack score
- 39.8
Offense: 0.094 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.014 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
ExplosivenessEastern Michigan29.9 pts
Predicted points added per successful play. Captures the impact of productive plays, beyond how often they happen.
Eastern Michigan offense
- Offensive percentile
- 25.5
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 14.6
- Matchup attack score
- 55.5
Offense: 1.162 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.392 PPA/successful play
Akron offense
- Offensive percentile
- 2.9
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 51.8
- Matchup attack score
- 25.5
Offense: 1.054 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.232 PPA/successful play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
HavocEastern Michigan35.4 pts
Disruption created on defense and avoided on offense. Lower offensive havoc allowed and higher defensive havoc created are better.
Eastern Michigan offense
- Offensive percentile
- 33.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 23.7
- Matchup attack score
- 54.9
Offense: 15.6%
Opponent defense: 13.3%
Akron offense
- Offensive percentile
- 5.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 66.1
- Matchup attack score
- 19.5
Offense: 19.4%
Opponent defense: 17.6%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Finishing drivesEastern Michigan19.5 pts
Points scored or allowed per scoring opportunity. Measures how effectively teams turn opportunities into points or limit the damage.
Eastern Michigan offense
- Offensive percentile
- 43.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 17.2
- Matchup attack score
- 63.0
Offense: 3.74 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 4.10 pts/opportunity
Akron offense
- Offensive percentile
- 40.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 53.3
- Matchup attack score
- 43.4
Offense: 3.69 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 3.32 pts/opportunity
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Bars point toward the team with the edge. Select a row to see why. These are statistical comparisons, not scoring margins or win probabilities.
How to read these charts
Statistics cover Weeks 1–5 of 2026, against all opponents. Percentiles compare 138 FBS teams; ties share ranks. Early-season profiles reflect a small sample.
Fingerprints: overall scores average offensive and defensive percentiles. Higher is better on both sides of the ball, including havoc avoidance on offense. Pace uses the offensive percentile only: higher means faster, not better. Missing values are shown as a dash and left unplotted.
Matchup edges: compare the two attack scores, each calculated as (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. Differences within 5 percentile points are labeled even. Pace does not contribute to the advantage map. These comparisons describe statistical strengths, not causal effects or win probabilities.
Source: CollegeFootballData advanced season statistics and team metadata; pace comes from local box scores. PPA stands for predicted points added. Advanced statistics exclude garbage time where supported. Pace includes all box-score plays.