DSCFB Matchups
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2026 college football / Week 6 matchup

MinnesotaatPurdue

Minnesota · 4–1Purdue · 2–3

Saturday, October 10 · 7:00 PM CT · BTN
Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN

Projected score (away / home)
33.0/22.4
Model line
Minnesota −10.6
Market line
Minnesota −2.5
Model pick
Minnesota −2.5

01 / Team identity

Offense + defense

Minnesota and Purdue: overall matchup fingerprintsScores run from 0 at the center to 100 at the outside. Minnesota is a solid green line with round markers; Purdue is a dashed rust line with square markers. Exact values are listed beside the chart. Missing data is left unplotted. Pace indicates speed, not strength.EfficiencySuccessratePassingRushingExplosivenessHavocFinishingdrivesPace255075100

Larger = stronger. On pace, larger = faster.
Select a category to explore its underlying numbers.

Category / 0–100MINNPUR

Passing

Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.

Minnesota
Offense
0.171 PPA/play
Defense
0.003 PPA/play
Purdue
Offense
0.514 PPA/play
Defense
0.333 PPA/play

02 / Matchup advantages

2areas favor
Minnesota

5closely matched
5-point threshold

0areas favor
Purdue

EfficiencyEven3.6 pts

Predicted points added (PPA) per play. A measure of how much value a team creates or allows on each snap.

Minnesota offense

Offensive percentile
17.5
Opponent defensive percentile
2.2
Matchup attack score
57.7

Offense: 0.028 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.310 PPA/play

Purdue offense

Offensive percentile
84.7
Opponent defensive percentile
76.6
Matchup attack score
54.0

Offense: 0.290 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.017 PPA/play

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

Success rateMinnesota17.3 pts

How consistently a team produces successful plays on offense and prevents them on defense.

Minnesota offense

Offensive percentile
49.6
Opponent defensive percentile
3.6
Matchup attack score
73.0

Offense: 43.3%
Opponent defense: 49.1%

Purdue offense

Offensive percentile
72.3
Opponent defensive percentile
60.9
Matchup attack score
55.7

Offense: 46.8%
Opponent defense: 38.9%

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

PassingEven4.7 pts

Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.

Minnesota offense

Offensive percentile
38.0
Opponent defensive percentile
19.7
Matchup attack score
59.1

Offense: 0.171 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.333 PPA/play

Purdue offense

Offensive percentile
91.2
Opponent defensive percentile
82.5
Matchup attack score
54.4

Offense: 0.514 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.003 PPA/play

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

RushingEven0.4 pts

Predicted points added on rushing plays. Measures ground-game production on offense and rushing production allowed on defense.

Minnesota offense

Offensive percentile
5.1
Opponent defensive percentile
0.0
Matchup attack score
52.6

Offense: -0.096 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.320 PPA/play

Purdue offense

Offensive percentile
33.6
Opponent defensive percentile
29.2
Matchup attack score
52.2

Offense: 0.063 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.126 PPA/play

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

ExplosivenessEven0.0 pts

Predicted points added per successful play. Captures the impact of productive plays, beyond how often they happen.

Minnesota offense

Offensive percentile
8.8
Opponent defensive percentile
25.5
Matchup attack score
41.6

Offense: 1.104 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.336 PPA/successful play

Purdue offense

Offensive percentile
50.4
Opponent defensive percentile
67.2
Matchup attack score
41.6

Offense: 1.254 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.179 PPA/successful play

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

HavocMinnesota26.5 pts

Disruption created on defense and avoided on offense. Lower offensive havoc allowed and higher defensive havoc created are better.

Minnesota offense

Offensive percentile
51.5
Opponent defensive percentile
25.2
Matchup attack score
63.1

Offense: 14.2%
Opponent defense: 13.6%

Purdue offense

Offensive percentile
71.9
Opponent defensive percentile
98.5
Matchup attack score
36.7

Offense: 12.9%
Opponent defense: 24.7%

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

Finishing drivesEven1.1 pts

Points scored or allowed per scoring opportunity. Measures how effectively teams turn opportunities into points or limit the damage.

Minnesota offense

Offensive percentile
17.5
Opponent defensive percentile
2.2
Matchup attack score
57.7

Offense: 3.13 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 4.74 pts/opportunity

Purdue offense

Offensive percentile
35.0
Opponent defensive percentile
21.9
Matchup attack score
56.6

Offense: 3.56 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 3.95 pts/opportunity

Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.

Bars point toward the team with the edge. Select a row to see why. These are statistical comparisons, not scoring margins or win probabilities.

How to read these charts

Statistics cover Weeks 1–5 of 2026, against all opponents. Percentiles compare 138 FBS teams; ties share ranks. Early-season profiles reflect a small sample.

Fingerprints: overall scores average offensive and defensive percentiles. Higher is better on both sides of the ball, including havoc avoidance on offense. Pace uses the offensive percentile only: higher means faster, not better. Missing values are shown as a dash and left unplotted.

Matchup edges: compare the two attack scores, each calculated as (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. Differences within 5 percentile points are labeled even. Pace does not contribute to the advantage map. These comparisons describe statistical strengths, not causal effects or win probabilities.

Source: CollegeFootballData advanced season statistics and team metadata; pace comes from local box scores. PPA stands for predicted points added. Advanced statistics exclude garbage time where supported. Pace includes all box-score plays.