2026 college football / Week 6 matchup
Stanfordat
Notre Dame
Saturday, October 10 · 2:30 PM CT · NBC
Notre Dame Stadium · Notre Dame, IN
- Projected score (away / home)
- 9.2/46.2
- Model line
- Notre Dame −37.0
- Market line
- Notre Dame −37.5
- Model pick
- Stanford +37.5
01 / Team identity
Offense + defense
Larger = stronger. On pace, larger = faster.
Select a category to explore its underlying numbers.
Passing
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
- Offense
- 0.306 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.393 PPA/play
- Offense
- 0.534 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.001 PPA/play
02 / Matchup advantages
1area favors
Stanford
0closely matched
5-point threshold
6areas favor
Notre Dame
EfficiencyNotre Dame65.0 pts
Predicted points added (PPA) per play. A measure of how much value a team creates or allows on each snap.
Stanford offense
- Offensive percentile
- 57.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 94.9
- Matchup attack score
- 31.4
Offense: 0.179 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.106 PPA/play
Notre Dame offense
- Offensive percentile
- 93.4
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 0.7
- Matchup attack score
- 96.4
Offense: 0.348 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.334 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Success rateNotre Dame84.7 pts
How consistently a team produces successful plays on offense and prevents them on defense.
Stanford offense
- Offensive percentile
- 20.4
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 94.2
- Matchup attack score
- 13.1
Offense: 39.5%
Opponent defense: 32.7%
Notre Dame offense
- Offensive percentile
- 98.5
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 2.9
- Matchup attack score
- 97.8
Offense: 54.6%
Opponent defense: 49.2%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
PassingNotre Dame51.5 pts
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
Stanford offense
- Offensive percentile
- 62.0
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 83.2
- Matchup attack score
- 39.4
Offense: 0.306 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.001 PPA/play
Notre Dame offense
- Offensive percentile
- 94.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 12.4
- Matchup attack score
- 90.9
Offense: 0.534 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.393 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
RushingNotre Dame75.5 pts
Predicted points added on rushing plays. Measures ground-game production on offense and rushing production allowed on defense.
Stanford offense
- Offensive percentile
- 20.4
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 95.6
- Matchup attack score
- 12.4
Offense: 0.016 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.181 PPA/play
Notre Dame offense
- Offensive percentile
- 77.4
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 1.5
- Matchup attack score
- 88.0
Offense: 0.211 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.312 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
ExplosivenessStanford8.8 pts
Predicted points added per successful play. Captures the impact of productive plays, beyond how often they happen.
Stanford offense
- Offensive percentile
- 56.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 62.0
- Matchup attack score
- 47.1
Offense: 1.264 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.190 PPA/successful play
Notre Dame offense
- Offensive percentile
- 3.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 27.0
- Matchup attack score
- 38.3
Offense: 1.059 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.332 PPA/successful play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
HavocNotre Dame60.2 pts
Disruption created on defense and avoided on offense. Lower offensive havoc allowed and higher defensive havoc created are better.
Stanford offense
- Offensive percentile
- 59.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 96.4
- Matchup attack score
- 31.4
Offense: 13.7%
Opponent defense: 23.6%
Notre Dame offense
- Offensive percentile
- 91.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 8.0
- Matchup attack score
- 91.6
Offense: 10.1%
Opponent defense: 11.9%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Finishing drivesNotre Dame86.7 pts
Points scored or allowed per scoring opportunity. Measures how effectively teams turn opportunities into points or limit the damage.
Stanford offense
- Offensive percentile
- 14.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 92.0
- Matchup attack score
- 11.1
Offense: 3.00 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 2.47 pts/opportunity
Notre Dame offense
- Offensive percentile
- 95.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 0.0
- Matchup attack score
- 97.8
Offense: 5.17 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 5.16 pts/opportunity
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Bars point toward the team with the edge. Select a row to see why. These are statistical comparisons, not scoring margins or win probabilities.
How to read these charts
Statistics cover Weeks 1–5 of 2026, against all opponents. Percentiles compare 138 FBS teams; ties share ranks. Early-season profiles reflect a small sample.
Fingerprints: overall scores average offensive and defensive percentiles. Higher is better on both sides of the ball, including havoc avoidance on offense. Pace uses the offensive percentile only: higher means faster, not better. Missing values are shown as a dash and left unplotted.
Matchup edges: compare the two attack scores, each calculated as (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. Differences within 5 percentile points are labeled even. Pace does not contribute to the advantage map. These comparisons describe statistical strengths, not causal effects or win probabilities.
Source: CollegeFootballData advanced season statistics and team metadata; pace comes from local box scores. PPA stands for predicted points added. Advanced statistics exclude garbage time where supported. Pace includes all box-score plays.