2026 college football / Week 6 matchup
Kansasat
Utah
Saturday, October 10 · 9:15 PM CT · ESPN
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT
- Projected score (away / home)
- 15.4/38.3
- Model line
- Utah −22.9
- Market line
- Utah −15.5
- Model pick
- Utah −15.5
01 / Team identity
Offense + defense
Larger = stronger. On pace, larger = faster.
Select a category to explore its underlying numbers.
Passing
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
- Offense
- 0.157 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.089 PPA/play
- Offense
- 0.498 PPA/play
- Defense
- -0.100 PPA/play
02 / Matchup advantages
0areas favor
Kansas
2closely matched
5-point threshold
5areas favor
Utah
EfficiencyUtah11.7 pts
Predicted points added (PPA) per play. A measure of how much value a team creates or allows on each snap.
Kansas offense
- Offensive percentile
- 62.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 84.7
- Matchup attack score
- 39.1
Offense: 0.207 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.051 PPA/play
Utah offense
- Offensive percentile
- 97.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 96.4
- Matchup attack score
- 50.7
Offense: 0.409 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.132 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Success rateUtah11.7 pts
How consistently a team produces successful plays on offense and prevents them on defense.
Kansas offense
- Offensive percentile
- 67.9
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 94.9
- Matchup attack score
- 36.5
Offense: 46.1%
Opponent defense: 32.6%
Utah offense
- Offensive percentile
- 95.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 99.3
- Matchup attack score
- 48.2
Offense: 52.6%
Opponent defense: 28.4%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
PassingUtah40.9 pts
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
Kansas offense
- Offensive percentile
- 35.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 93.4
- Matchup attack score
- 21.2
Offense: 0.157 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.100 PPA/play
Utah offense
- Offensive percentile
- 88.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 64.2
- Matchup attack score
- 62.0
Offense: 0.498 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.089 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
RushingEven1.5 pts
Predicted points added on rushing plays. Measures ground-game production on offense and rushing production allowed on defense.
Kansas offense
- Offensive percentile
- 78.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 70.8
- Matchup attack score
- 53.6
Offense: 0.212 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.028 PPA/play
Utah offense
- Offensive percentile
- 97.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 92.7
- Matchup attack score
- 52.2
Offense: 0.330 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.159 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
ExplosivenessEven0.4 pts
Predicted points added per successful play. Captures the impact of productive plays, beyond how often they happen.
Kansas offense
- Offensive percentile
- 83.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 39.4
- Matchup attack score
- 71.9
Offense: 1.349 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.279 PPA/successful play
Utah offense
- Offensive percentile
- 75.9
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 31.4
- Matchup attack score
- 72.3
Offense: 1.330 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.310 PPA/successful play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
HavocUtah6.9 pts
Disruption created on defense and avoided on offense. Lower offensive havoc allowed and higher defensive havoc created are better.
Kansas offense
- Offensive percentile
- 53.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 88.3
- Matchup attack score
- 32.5
Offense: 14.1%
Opponent defense: 20.4%
Utah offense
- Offensive percentile
- 73.0
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 94.2
- Matchup attack score
- 39.4
Offense: 12.8%
Opponent defense: 22.3%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Finishing drivesUtah30.7 pts
Points scored or allowed per scoring opportunity. Measures how effectively teams turn opportunities into points or limit the damage.
Kansas offense
- Offensive percentile
- 51.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 93.4
- Matchup attack score
- 29.2
Offense: 3.85 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 2.28 pts/opportunity
Utah offense
- Offensive percentile
- 93.4
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 73.7
- Matchup attack score
- 59.9
Offense: 4.97 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 2.96 pts/opportunity
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Bars point toward the team with the edge. Select a row to see why. These are statistical comparisons, not scoring margins or win probabilities.
How to read these charts
Statistics cover Weeks 1–5 of 2026, against all opponents. Percentiles compare 138 FBS teams; ties share ranks. Early-season profiles reflect a small sample.
Fingerprints: overall scores average offensive and defensive percentiles. Higher is better on both sides of the ball, including havoc avoidance on offense. Pace uses the offensive percentile only: higher means faster, not better. Missing values are shown as a dash and left unplotted.
Matchup edges: compare the two attack scores, each calculated as (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. Differences within 5 percentile points are labeled even. Pace does not contribute to the advantage map. These comparisons describe statistical strengths, not causal effects or win probabilities.
Source: CollegeFootballData advanced season statistics and team metadata; pace comes from local box scores. PPA stands for predicted points added. Advanced statistics exclude garbage time where supported. Pace includes all box-score plays.