2026 college football / Week 6 matchup
Texas A&Mat
Missouri
Saturday, October 10 · 11:00 AM CT · ABC
Memorial Stadium · Columbia, MO
- Projected score (away / home)
- 20.7/26.2
- Model line
- Missouri −5.5
- Market line
- Missouri −3.5
- Model pick
- Missouri −3.5
01 / Team identity
Offense + defense
Larger = stronger. On pace, larger = faster.
Select a category to explore its underlying numbers.
Passing
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
- Offense
- 0.140 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.264 PPA/play
- Offense
- 0.527 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.131 PPA/play
02 / Matchup advantages
3areas favor
Texas A&M
0closely matched
5-point threshold
4areas favor
Missouri
EfficiencyMissouri28.5 pts
Predicted points added (PPA) per play. A measure of how much value a team creates or allows on each snap.
Texas A&M offense
- Offensive percentile
- 33.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 78.8
- Matchup attack score
- 27.4
Offense: 0.095 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.034 PPA/play
Missouri offense
- Offensive percentile
- 71.5
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 59.9
- Matchup attack score
- 55.8
Offense: 0.243 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.042 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Success rateMissouri28.5 pts
How consistently a team produces successful plays on offense and prevents them on defense.
Texas A&M offense
- Offensive percentile
- 45.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 90.5
- Matchup attack score
- 27.4
Offense: 42.9%
Opponent defense: 34.0%
Missouri offense
- Offensive percentile
- 56.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 44.5
- Matchup attack score
- 55.8
Offense: 44.4%
Opponent defense: 41.1%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
PassingMissouri44.9 pts
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
Texas A&M offense
- Offensive percentile
- 29.9
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 54.0
- Matchup attack score
- 38.0
Offense: 0.140 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.131 PPA/play
Missouri offense
- Offensive percentile
- 92.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 27.0
- Matchup attack score
- 82.8
Offense: 0.527 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.264 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
RushingTexas A&M9.1 pts
Predicted points added on rushing plays. Measures ground-game production on offense and rushing production allowed on defense.
Texas A&M offense
- Offensive percentile
- 44.5
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 86.1
- Matchup attack score
- 29.2
Offense: 0.102 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.133 PPA/play
Missouri offense
- Offensive percentile
- 25.5
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 85.4
- Matchup attack score
- 20.1
Offense: 0.029 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.131 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
ExplosivenessMissouri11.3 pts
Predicted points added per successful play. Captures the impact of productive plays, beyond how often they happen.
Texas A&M offense
- Offensive percentile
- 12.4
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 9.5
- Matchup attack score
- 51.5
Offense: 1.118 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.428 PPA/successful play
Missouri offense
- Offensive percentile
- 61.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 35.8
- Matchup attack score
- 62.8
Offense: 1.285 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.297 PPA/successful play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
HavocTexas A&M6.9 pts
Disruption created on defense and avoided on offense. Lower offensive havoc allowed and higher defensive havoc created are better.
Texas A&M offense
- Offensive percentile
- 53.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 93.4
- Matchup attack score
- 29.9
Offense: 14.1%
Opponent defense: 22.0%
Missouri offense
- Offensive percentile
- 22.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 76.6
- Matchup attack score
- 23.0
Offense: 16.4%
Opponent defense: 18.3%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Finishing drivesTexas A&M25.2 pts
Points scored or allowed per scoring opportunity. Measures how effectively teams turn opportunities into points or limit the damage.
Texas A&M offense
- Offensive percentile
- 76.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 57.7
- Matchup attack score
- 59.5
Offense: 4.47 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 3.27 pts/opportunity
Missouri offense
- Offensive percentile
- 48.9
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 80.3
- Matchup attack score
- 34.3
Offense: 3.81 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 2.83 pts/opportunity
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Bars point toward the team with the edge. Select a row to see why. These are statistical comparisons, not scoring margins or win probabilities.
How to read these charts
Statistics cover Weeks 1–5 of 2026, against all opponents. Percentiles compare 138 FBS teams; ties share ranks. Early-season profiles reflect a small sample.
Fingerprints: overall scores average offensive and defensive percentiles. Higher is better on both sides of the ball, including havoc avoidance on offense. Pace uses the offensive percentile only: higher means faster, not better. Missing values are shown as a dash and left unplotted.
Matchup edges: compare the two attack scores, each calculated as (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. Differences within 5 percentile points are labeled even. Pace does not contribute to the advantage map. These comparisons describe statistical strengths, not causal effects or win probabilities.
Source: CollegeFootballData advanced season statistics and team metadata; pace comes from local box scores. PPA stands for predicted points added. Advanced statistics exclude garbage time where supported. Pace includes all box-score plays.