2026 college football / Week 6 matchup
South Carolinaat
Florida
Saturday, October 10 · 11:45 AM CT · SEC Network
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville, FL
- Projected score (away / home)
- 21.8/35.5
- Model line
- Florida −13.7
- Market line
- Florida −12.5
- Model pick
- Florida −12.5
01 / Team identity
Offense + defense
Larger = stronger. On pace, larger = faster.
Select a category to explore its underlying numbers.
Passing
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
- Offense
- 0.148 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.430 PPA/play
- Offense
- 0.516 PPA/play
- Defense
- 0.240 PPA/play
02 / Matchup advantages
1area favors
South Carolina
1closely matched
5-point threshold
5areas favor
Florida
EfficiencyFlorida33.2 pts
Predicted points added (PPA) per play. A measure of how much value a team creates or allows on each snap.
South Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 52.6
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 44.5
- Matchup attack score
- 54.0
Offense: 0.166 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.094 PPA/play
Florida offense
- Offensive percentile
- 94.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 19.7
- Matchup attack score
- 87.2
Offense: 0.351 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.189 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Success rateEven1.3 pts
How consistently a team produces successful plays on offense and prevents them on defense.
South Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 65.0
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 23.0
- Matchup attack score
- 71.0
Offense: 45.5%
Opponent defense: 44.6%
Florida offense
- Offensive percentile
- 88.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 43.8
- Matchup attack score
- 72.3
Offense: 50.2%
Opponent defense: 41.2%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
PassingFlorida43.1 pts
Predicted points added on passing plays. Measures production through the air on offense and passing production allowed on defense.
South Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 32.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 34.3
- Matchup attack score
- 49.3
Offense: 0.148 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.240 PPA/play
Florida offense
- Offensive percentile
- 92.0
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 7.3
- Matchup attack score
- 92.3
Offense: 0.516 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.430 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
RushingSouth Carolina12.8 pts
Predicted points added on rushing plays. Measures ground-game production on offense and rushing production allowed on defense.
South Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 84.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 42.3
- Matchup attack score
- 71.2
Offense: 0.244 PPA/play
Opponent defense: 0.089 PPA/play
Florida offense
- Offensive percentile
- 86.1
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 69.3
- Matchup attack score
- 58.4
Offense: 0.252 PPA/play
Opponent defense: -0.018 PPA/play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
ExplosivenessFlorida24.1 pts
Predicted points added per successful play. Captures the impact of productive plays, beyond how often they happen.
South Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 43.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 50.4
- Matchup attack score
- 46.7
Offense: 1.228 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.238 PPA/successful play
Florida offense
- Offensive percentile
- 65.7
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 24.1
- Matchup attack score
- 70.8
Offense: 1.296 PPA/successful play
Opponent defense: 1.340 PPA/successful play
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
HavocFlorida35.4 pts
Disruption created on defense and avoided on offense. Lower offensive havoc allowed and higher defensive havoc created are better.
South Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 69.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 82.5
- Matchup attack score
- 43.4
Offense: 13.1%
Opponent defense: 19.3%
Florida offense
- Offensive percentile
- 84.3
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 26.6
- Matchup attack score
- 78.8
Offense: 11.4%
Opponent defense: 13.7%
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Finishing drivesFlorida20.8 pts
Points scored or allowed per scoring opportunity. Measures how effectively teams turn opportunities into points or limit the damage.
South Carolina offense
- Offensive percentile
- 68.2
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 17.2
- Matchup attack score
- 75.5
Offense: 4.33 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 4.10 pts/opportunity
Florida offense
- Offensive percentile
- 97.8
- Opponent defensive percentile
- 5.1
- Matchup attack score
- 96.4
Offense: 5.35 pts/opportunity
Opponent defense: 4.52 pts/opportunity
Attack score = (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. The difference between the two scores determines the edge.
Bars point toward the team with the edge. Select a row to see why. These are statistical comparisons, not scoring margins or win probabilities.
How to read these charts
Statistics cover Weeks 1–5 of 2026, against all opponents. Percentiles compare 138 FBS teams; ties share ranks. Early-season profiles reflect a small sample.
Fingerprints: overall scores average offensive and defensive percentiles. Higher is better on both sides of the ball, including havoc avoidance on offense. Pace uses the offensive percentile only: higher means faster, not better. Missing values are shown as a dash and left unplotted.
Matchup edges: compare the two attack scores, each calculated as (offensive percentile + 100 − opponent defensive percentile) ÷ 2. Differences within 5 percentile points are labeled even. Pace does not contribute to the advantage map. These comparisons describe statistical strengths, not causal effects or win probabilities.
Source: CollegeFootballData advanced season statistics and team metadata; pace comes from local box scores. PPA stands for predicted points added. Advanced statistics exclude garbage time where supported. Pace includes all box-score plays.